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Intel Foundry Struggles Cast a Shadow on Nvidia Deal

On: September 19, 2025 9:45 AM
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Intel

Intel: Investors lit up with excitement when Nvidia announced its massive $5 billion investment in Intel, sending Intel’s stock soaring by as much as 30% in a single day. On the surface, this partnership seems like a major win. Nvidia, the undisputed leader of the AI era, will now hold a 4% stake in Intel, while the two companies agreed to share critical technologies Intel’s CPUs will power Nvidia’s AI driven data centers, and Intel will integrate Nvidia’s AI capabilities into its personal computer chips.

It sounds like a bold step forward for Intel. But beneath the market euphoria lies a problem that no stock surge or strategic handshake has fixed: Intel’s struggling chip manufacturing business.

The Lingering Cloud Over Intel Foundry Services

Intel

Intel’s Foundry Services, launched in 2021 with hopes of reviving the company’s dominance, was supposed to turn the company into a global chip making powerhouse. Instead, it has turned into Intel’s heaviest burden. Losses in this segment ballooned to a staggering $13 billion in 2024, up from $7 billion just the year before. The dream of attracting big-name customers to its foundries never materialized, leaving the company grappling with costly factories and little business to justify them.

This collapse was one of the key reasons why former CEO Pat Gelsinger, who once promised a manufacturing renaissance, was ousted by Intel’s board last December. Today, the foundry unit remains Intel’s deepest wound, raising doubts about how long the company can afford to carry it.

Why Nvidia’s Deal Didn’t Address the Real Issue

Despite the headlines celebrating Nvidia’s investment, the agreement pointedly left out any direct role for Intel Foundry Services. Instead, Nvidia and Intel both acknowledged that for now their new chips would be produced by TSMC, Intel’s biggest rival in chip manufacturing.

This omission surprised many analysts, especially given the US government’s national security interest in keeping Intel’s factories alive. Intel remains the only large scale, cutting edge chipmaker based in the United States, producing semiconductors even for the Department of Defense. With TSMC concentrated in Taiwan a region under constant geopolitical tension the survival of Intel’s foundry business is not just about profits. It’s about national security.

Can Intel Still Turn the Corner?

Intel

Some Wall Street analysts argue that Intel should sell off the foundry business entirely, while others warn that such a move would cripple the company’s ability to produce its own chips at competitive costs. Either way, the consensus is clear: Intel Foundry Services will remain a cash drain for years to come. CFRA analyst Angelo Zino predicts the unit will “continue to bleed cash at least through 2027.”

Even so, there is a faint glimmer of possibility. Nvidia’s financial stake in Intel could one day lead to contract manufacturing deals, even if only in small amounts at first. For now, though, Intel must endure its toughest test: proving to the world that it can compete not just in designing chips but in making them.

A Partnership That Offers Hope But Not Salvation

There’s no denying that Nvidia’s vote of confidence helps restore credibility to Intel at a time when it desperately needs it. The partnership could lay the groundwork for future collaboration in manufacturing, but it does not erase the stark reality: Intel’s biggest challenge remains unsolved.

The company’s future hinges not just on its ability to innovate with products, but on whether it can stop the bleeding in its foundry business. Until then, no amount of Wall Street excitement can mask the uncertainty that hangs over one of America’s most important technology companies.

Disclaimer: This article is written for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Readers are encouraged to conduct their own research or consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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